Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.339728 15.526458 17.902964 20.670388 23.796961 27.212177 31.217093
2025-11-02 9.427012 12.364367 15.882526 20.371366 25.907389 32.469998 40.792613
2025-11-09 7.086283 10.244893 14.334699 19.938580 27.325851 36.630521 49.119865
2025-11-16 5.508690 8.671803 13.051967 19.425503 28.302225 40.045551 56.536794
2025-11-23 4.297079 7.322470 11.778619 18.623664 28.632423 42.451663 62.625806
2025-11-30 3.752479 6.837642 11.622281 19.306399 30.993069 47.688890 72.819661
2025-12-07 3.313214 6.427223 11.492299 19.963308 33.310655 52.965667 83.357917
2025-12-14 2.753567 5.705961 10.752862 19.552745 33.925334 55.744154 90.398370
2025-12-21 2.280619 5.045690 10.008598 19.018120 34.246768 58.039866 96.790310
2025-12-28 2.098367 4.895591 10.116644 19.902677 36.894868 64.043249 109.122179
2026-01-04 1.902056 4.680611 10.072849 20.502802 39.094307 69.446846 120.792048
2026-01-11 1.679432 4.368956 9.802659 20.656002 40.522252 73.667064 130.785039
2026-01-18 1.457519 4.036487 9.485707 20.762075 42.008263 78.296463 142.089352
2026-01-25 1.225847 3.636274 8.983255 20.475559 42.802479 81.887665 152.039969
2026-02-01 1.020580 3.249385 8.444376 20.043209 43.273361 84.937670 161.252814
2026-02-08 0.844507 2.890453 7.903449 19.528218 43.518437 87.576150 169.878845
2026-02-15 0.681444 2.519930 7.268397 18.722800 43.101866 88.967760 176.373947
2026-02-22 0.624176 2.441516 7.316238 19.408655 45.708991 96.028870 193.256730
2026-03-01 0.571574 2.363726 7.352495 20.068542 48.308374 103.216642 210.716486
2026-03-08 0.479249 2.129810 6.947422 19.656121 48.627345 106.098857 220.467031
2026-03-15 0.396931 1.902023 6.515389 19.119068 48.619905 108.330815 229.103190
2026-03-22 0.373753 1.882762 6.658990 20.007638 51.788109 116.946254 250.108350
2026-03-29 0.343394 1.826912 6.688335 20.610471 54.362519 124.513760 269.457502